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David McNamara's avatar

Your analysis of Breaking4 is the best I have read. Super job! In addition, I wished we had some physiologic monitors on Faith- because before the start she looked incredibly anxious and expectation were so high. I think her anxiety at the start was eating into her kick at the end. I agree with you she would have been better off as part of a bigger event with a full stadium. Running by oneself against the clock is always harder than runner against competitors. Given that she did fantastic!

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Louise Wood's avatar

Alison, your post and Steve Magness's YouTube video were the best pieces I've read on Kipyegon's attempt to break 4.

Magness made the key point that men who run under 4 are almost invariably capable of running 1:52 in the 800 - which no woman has ever done! And that the plan to run each lap successively faster doesn't remotely resemble how sub-4s are typically run: slightly faster first lap, settling for two laps, and kicking like mad in the last lap.

Btw, I haven't seen any mention that when men broke 4 they raced the mile a LOT. I don't see how that can't make a difference.

Thanks for actually offering some analysis of the Kipyegon event! Wonderful writeup!

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